Numbers on trial: How actuaries can deliver expert evidence

As an actuarial analyst, working on expert evidence projects for Class Action lawsuits has been one of the most challenging and rewarding experiences of my career to date. The role requires not just deep technical expertise but also the ability to communicate complex actuarial concepts in a way that is clear and persuasive. McGing has expert knowledge and expertise in insurance and investment, which has played a crucial role in providing insights for these cases.

Through working on these projects, I learned three key lessons:

  • The importance of being detail-oriented in methodology and explanations;
  • The necessity of a thorough checking mechanism to ensure consistency and accuracy in calculations and reporting; and
  • The value of clarity and conciseness to help the Court understand the key issues.


These insights have reinforced my approach to actuarial work and provided valuable takeaways for anyone involved in providing expert evidence.


The importance of attention to detail

The foundation of any expert report is the rigor and precision applied to both methodology and explanations. In a legal setting, every assumption, calculation, and conclusion must be meticulously documented and justified. Unlike in a business setting, where some level of approximation might be acceptable based on materiality, legal proceedings often demand absolute precision.

One of the challenges I have faced was ensuring that technical actuarial principles were presented in a way that was both accurate and understandable to a non-technical audience. This required breaking down complex calculations into digestible components while maintaining the integrity of the methodology. Each term needed a clear definition, and each step in the calculation process had to be explicitly outlined. This level of detail was critical in demonstrating our relevant technical expertise, the robustness of our analysis and ensuring that our findings were defensible under immense scrutiny.


Robust checking mechanisms and audit trails

In providing expert evidence, credibility is everything. A single error or inconsistency can be used to cast doubt on the entire report and its findings. This is why having a thorough checking mechanism and audit trail is crucial. Every figure in the reports needed to be verifiable, every statement backed by calculations, and every calculation cross-checked against original data sources.

To achieve this, we implemented a multi-layered review process. Each time a model was altered, checking was conducted by a separate individual to identify discrepancies or potential errors. Additionally, we maintained a detailed audit trail that linked every number in the report back to its source, ensuring that any challenge or question could be answered with clear evidence. By adopting a systematic approach to verification, we minimised the risk of mistakes and enhanced the credibility of our findings.


Clarity and conciseness in expert reports

Perhaps the most significant learning was the importance of writing an expert report that is clear and concise. Judges and legal teams are not actuaries, and their ability to understand our findings depends on how effectively we communicate them. A well-structured report should make it easy for a judge to follow the logic of the calculations, grasp the underlying principles, and understand how these principles were applied to arrive at the conclusions made in the report.

One of the key strategies we used was simplifying technical explanations without oversimplifying the underlying concepts. Instead of presenting raw formulas, we provided step-by-step explanations accompanied by intuitive examples. We also made use of visual aids, such as charts and tables, to illustrate trends and relationships. This allowed the most complex actuarial concepts to be more easily understood by those without a technical background.


Conclusion

Working on expert evidence projects for class action lawsuits has been a valuable learning experience that reinforced the importance of precision, verification, and clear communication. Being detail-oriented in both methodology and explanations ensures that our work is defensible. Implementing robust checking mechanisms enhances credibility and minimises risk. Finally, crafting a clear and concise report ensures that our findings are accessible and persuasive to a legal audience. These lessons extend beyond the courtroom and are fundamental to producing high-quality actuarial work in any context.


Nathan

 


Nathan is a Senior Actuarial Analyst at McGing and has worked on multiple expert evidence projects.